26.3.13

Google vs. Nokia IP clash: circle closes


So, Google and Nokia seem to be clashing over the VP8 codec which is planned for the WebRTC standard.
Or actually, Google has e.g. Mozilla Foundation as its WebRTC partner, along with others. Nokia collaborates with Microsoft, which has been promoting an alternative approach to WebRTC.
However, we do not know if Nokia and Microsoft collaborate in this particular topic.
Being personally based in Finland, the history is interesting. I have been informed by a person closely involved, that actually Google's VP8 codec was developed by Finland-based Hantro.
Hantro was acquired by On2.
Then, On2 was acquired by Google. 

What is the conclusion? We can develop and innovate demanding software in Finland.
And not only for Nokia, there are actually quite a lot cooking here...

8.3.13

2013: The optimistic scenario for WebRTC takeup


A friend of mine told me his guess is that it takes still some two three years maybe that WebRTC is a factor in the markets.
Let's challenge this view a bit.
What it takes for WebRTC to enter markets is:

  1. Credible interop from prestandard versions. Firefox and Chrome have demonstrated this.
  2. Codecs are settled. Seems VP8 deal closes this issue.
  3. NAT/Firewall traversal is not an issue. Seems that it won't.
  4. There are enough WebRTC-dedicated companies to create a credible market. Well, there are tens of those and some acquired by companies like Yahoo and Telefonica.
  5. Endpoints will have WebRTC-enabled software. Updated over-the-air.
  6. The endpoints need to be able to process the voice and the video. This will be interesting to follow. A realtime app on top of the browser layer could be a challenge. It will be interesting what kind of hardware integrations we will see. But if even the early WebRTC Android versions run in a Nexus 4, then the issue could still be getting adequate operating times. 
  7. There has to be a realtime IP bitpipes available. Well, wifi has been there for years and LTE is being rolled out.
  8. There has to be network-to-network interop. Well, that is not so. That's the beauty of it. In telecomms, that is one important factor slowing down the evolution. In WebRTC, we talk of dynamic islands. A and B go to same web site, download same WebRTC signaling and off they go. 
So it seems that 2013 could be the year for first roll-outs and wide roll-out in 2014, including also mobile. Unless, of course we see an unheard-of wave of IPR lawsuits.